Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5): a high-resolution seasonal forecast system

Ncep Dynamical Seasonal Forecast System 2000

JULY 2002 AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | I n April 2000, a new dynamical seasonal prediction system was introduced at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP; the acronyms used in this paper are summarized in the appendix). The transition to the new system was hastened by a computer fire in September 1999 and subsequent changeover from a Cray C90 to an IBM-SP computer system....

S4CAST seasonal forecast model

Introduction Conclusions References

Weather Derivatives and Seasonal Forecast

The purpose of this paper is to incorporate the CPC (Climate Prediction Center) seasonal forecast in the temperature process so that conditional means and conditional variances of both the temperature and the CDD (Cooling Degree Day) may be redetermined in accordance with the seasonal forecasting probabilities. Under the Gaussian property of the underlying process, the prices of the CDD options...

Enhanced seasonal forecast skill following

Improved seasonal forecast using ozone hole variability?

[1] Southern Hemisphere (SH) climate change has been partly attributed to Antarctic ozone depletion in the literatures. Here we show that the ozone hole has affected not only the long-term climate change but also the interannual variability of SH surface climate. A significant negative correlation is observed between September ozone concentration and the October southern annular mode index, res...